Geometry of Divergence: Tracking Hidden-State Trajectories for Adaptive Multi-Turn Reasoning

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作者:Jie LiangZhengxin YuHamid NasiriPeter Garraghan
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AI 研究摘要

LLM agents need to sustain goal-consistent reasoning across long multi-turn interactions under strict resource constraints. However, as the multi-turn context accumulates, it can destabilize the underlying LLM's internal representation of task-relevant information from earlier turns, blurring the boundary between constructive reasoning and representation drift. We formulate multi-turn reasoning as a hidden-state trajectory of the underlying LLM that is characterized via two complementary signals: temporal curvature that captures the directional consistency of turn-to-turn updates, and variance slope which measures the expansion or contraction of the exploration space. Across four tasks and three underlying LLMs, we observed that these geometric signals distinguish between correct and incorrect episodes prior to completion. We further decompose each episode into three-action chains formed from four actions (Read, Write, Respond, Transfer) and show that separability is action-dependent, with different signals distinguishing various chain patterns. Our experiments demonstrate that trajectory geometry can identify critical turns in the reasoning process, increasing task success rates on tau-Bench from 24.1% to 39.6% while reducing token cost by 11.2%.

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Autonomous LLM agents frequently fail during multi-turn interactions because accumulating interaction history destabilizes their internal representations, causing context saturation, representation drift, and unneeded reasoning overhead. This paper proposes tracking the trajectory of intermediate hidden states across conversational turns using two geometric metrics: temporal curvature (measuring directional consistency of hidden-state displacements) and variance slope (measuring expansion or contraction of the exploration space). Instead of relying on static context engineering or always-on chain-of-thought deliberation, the authors demonstrate that monitoring these latent geometric signals can trigger deliberative reasoning dynamically only when failure or drift is imminent. For practitioners and researchers developing conversational agents in tool-grounded domains like retail and airline customer support, this method offers a potential route to improve task success rates while lowering overall inference token costs. A primary operational limitation is that extracting hidden states requires direct white-box access to the model's internal activations at specific intermediate layers, making the approach inaccessible for closed-source proprietary API-only models.

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研究结论

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Failed episodes exhibit systematically more negative temporal curvature kappa across all six task-LLM pairings, with correct minus incorrect mean differences of: Math (Llama-3.1-8B) +0.047, Code (Qwen3-14B) +0.148, Retail (Qwen3-14B) +0.030, Airline (Qwen3-14B) +0.049, Retail (Qwen3-32B) +0.035, and Airline (Qwen3-32B) +0.088.实验受阻,详见具体原因报告 0.047 scalar

报告

0.047 scalar

观测

The offline episode traces, prompt sharding scripts for Math and Code from Lost in Conversation, and exact hidden state trajectory extraction codebase are not provided in the paper snapshot or any public repository.

curvature_difference_correct_minus_incorrect · 尚未评估

报告: 0.047 scalar

curvature_difference_correct_minus_incorrect · 尚未评估

报告: 0.148 scalar

curvature_difference_correct_minus_incorrect · 尚未评估

报告: 0.03 scalar

curvature_difference_correct_minus_incorrect · 尚未评估

报告: 0.049 scalar

curvature_difference_correct_minus_incorrect · 尚未评估

报告: 0.035 scalar

curvature_difference_correct_minus_incorrect · 尚未评估

报告: 0.088 scalar

The learned classifier predicting the agent's next action achieves F1 scores of 0.826 for Read, 0.711 for Respond, 0.700 for Write, and 0.531 for Transfer.实验受阻,详见具体原因报告 0.826 fraction

报告

0.826 fraction

观测

The paper does not provide the classifier model, training code, loss function, evaluation split, or feature representation.

f1_score · 尚未评估

报告: 0.826 fraction

f1_score · 尚未评估

报告: 0.711 fraction

f1_score · 尚未评估

报告: 0.7 fraction

f1_score · 尚未评估

报告: 0.531 fraction

Action-conditioned trigger policies exhibit domain-dependent performance: on Retail with Qwen3-14B, triggering on Read (0.393) and Write (0.381) outperforms Respond (0.290), whereas on Airline with Qwen3-14B, the ordering inverts, with Respond achieving 0.372 while Read achieves 0.352 and Write achieves 0.340.实验受阻,详见具体原因报告 0.393 fraction

报告

0.393 fraction

观测

The learned action classifier (predicting next action a_hat_t) is not released, nor are the training data, features, architecture, or tau-Bench integration harness.

task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.393 fraction

task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.381 fraction

task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.29 fraction

task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.372 fraction

task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.352 fraction

task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.34 fraction

In the analysis of top-20 three-action chains, the information-acquisition chain Read->Read->Read (ID 1) accounts for 19.6%/22.2% (Correct/Incorrect, Rank #1) in Retail and 17.1%/14.5% (Rank #2) in Airline, while the repetitive output chain Resp->Resp->Resp (ID 2) accounts for 3.6%/8.2% (Rank #5) in Retail and 9.1%/23.6% (Rank #1) in Airline, showing strong error concentration in ungrounded conversational loops.实验受阻,详见具体原因报告 19.6 个百分点

报告

19.6 个百分点

观测

Complete sliding window logs across episodes and domain trajectories are not available.

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 19.6 个百分点

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 22.2 个百分点

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 17.1 个百分点

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 14.5 个百分点

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 3.6 个百分点

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 8.2 个百分点

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 9.1 个百分点

chain_window_share · 尚未评估

报告: 23.6 个百分点

Correct episodes exhibit higher variance slopes beta_t than incorrect episodes across all six task-LLM pairings. Separability is statistically significant (p < .001) for Math (Llama-3.1-8B), Code (Qwen3-14B), Retail (Qwen3-14B), and Retail (Qwen3-32B), but not statistically significant for Airline (Qwen3-14B, p=0.30; Qwen3-32B, p=0.057).实验受阻,详见具体原因报告 0.3 scalar

报告

0.3 scalar

观测

Raw episode traces, prompt sharding scripts, and hidden state trajectory extraction codebase are unreleased.

mann_whitney_u_p_value · 尚未评估

报告: 0.3 scalar

mann_whitney_u_p_value · 尚未评估

报告: 0.057 scalar

Across four domain-model settings on tau-Bench, geometry-conditioned adaptive reasoning triggers raise average task reward from 0.241 (24.1%) under Never-thinking to 0.396 (39.6%) while reducing mean token cost from 104.8k to 93.0k, an 11.2% reduction.实验受阻,详见具体原因报告 0.241 fraction

报告

0.241 fraction

观测

The paper does not provide an official repository or executable code release (repository-identity.json indicates available: false). Furthermore, key protocol components including prompt templates, user simulator conversation driver scripts, probe extraction and logging pipelines, the exact classifier training split for Learned-HST, and detailed per-task configurations are deferred to an unreleased Appendix.

average_task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.241 fraction

average_task_reward · 尚未评估

报告: 0.396 fraction

mean_token_cost_thousands · 尚未评估

报告: 104.8 thousands_tokens

mean_token_cost_thousands · 尚未评估

报告: 93 thousands_tokens

token_cost_reduction · 尚未评估

报告: 11.2 个百分点

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